MLB Picks

Rockies vs Mets Prediction 5/5/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Mets (13-22) vs. Colorado Rockies (14-22)
May 5, 2026 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 135 / NY Mets -163; Over/Under: 10
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and Colorado Rockies meet Tuesday in MLB action at Coors Field. Here’s a Rockies vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Rockies vs. Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 13-22 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Tigers next. The New York Mets are batting. 224 on the season, have a .287 OBP, and have a .342 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 34 hits and 15 RBI, while Mark Vientos and Marcus Semien have combined for 48 hits and 25 RBI.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 4-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 66 strikeouts in his career against the Colorado Rockies.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 14-22 on the year and play the Pirates and Phillies next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .250 on the season and have a .319 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Troy Johnston leads the Colorado Rockies with 34 hits and 16 RBI while TJ Rumfield and Mickey Moniak have combined for 68 hits and 40 RBI.

Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Mets have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites following a win.
  • The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Mets.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games following a home loss.
  • The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Rockies have lost 16 of their last 17 home games against NL East opponents.
  • The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Mets and Rockies.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last six road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rockies’ last four night games as underdogs has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Mets and Rockies.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL West opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Hunter Goodman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mickey Moniak ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Rockies.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last six Tuesday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (346).
  • The Rockies rank 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (49).
  • The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.342).
  • The Mets rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (333).

Rockies vs Mets Prediction

I still need to see more from the Mets to completely buy in but they’ve won 3 of their last 4 games. The best stretch we’ve seen from this group. The Rockies keep piling up the losses and Lorenzen hasn’t been good with his 6.09 ERA and 1.76 WHIP through 34 frames. Peralta is averaging more than a strikeout per inning and he has a 3.52 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. A clear edge on the mound for the Mets and if this current stretch is real over the last few days, these wins should continue. This is a soft landing for the Mets to get back on track. The price is reasonable. Give me the Mets.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Mets -163

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button