Royals vs Astros Prediction 4/27/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 27th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 14-14 this season, and they have won the first two games by a score of 2-0 in each game. In their game two win, the Royals scored once in the first inning and added an insurance run in the fifth for the win. Kansas City recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Pasquantino and Canha, who both had one RBI in the win. KC started Wacha, who allowed four hits over 6.0 innings in the win, while Estevez picked up the save. Prior to this series, the Royals won all three against the Rockies, but did lose three out of four against the Tigers before that. Kansas City has won six games in a row, and they are currently third in the AL Central standings.

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 88 runs with a .221 batting average and a .287 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added two home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Kris Bubic, who is 2-1 with a 1.45 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 31.0 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 13-13 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 2-0 on Saturday. Houston fell behind early in the game, and they couldn’t find any runs, despite having quite a few baserunners. The Astros recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Paredes, who had two hits in the loss. Houston started Valdez, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 8.0 innings in the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Astros won all three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Padres. Houston has won three of their last five games, and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.19 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and a .206 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 92 runs with a .230 batting average and a .302 on-base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with four home runs and 13 RBIs, while Yordan Alvarez has added two home runs, 13 RBIs, and one stolen base this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 3-1 with a 1.16 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP over 31.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Royals will beat the Astros

• The Royals have won each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Royals following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Why the Astros will beat the Royals

• The Astros have won eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
• The Royals have lost four of their last five day games against the Astros following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 14 games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Royals’ last 14 games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Astros’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Cavan Biggio has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
• Cavan Biggio has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Astros.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five home games against AL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 18 games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last four home games against the Astros.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games against AL opponents.
• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in two of his three previous road appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 games against AL opponents.
• Yainer Diaz has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.

Royals vs Astros Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup looking for their first run in the series, but their pitching staff has been very strong. The Astros are 4-7 on the road this year, while the Royals are 11-4 at home. Kansas City is going for its seventh straight win, and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of its last five games. Both of these pitchers have been very good so far this season, and both have an ERA below 1.50. We haven’t seen many runs so far in this series, and I think that trend will continue. Take the under in this game.