Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/19/25 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Royals vs Blue Jays Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 89-64 on the year and play the Red Sox and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .268 on the season, have a .335 OBP, and a .429 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 181 hits and 94 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 310 hits and 127 RBI.

Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 5-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 14-5 with a 3.15 ERA and 124 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 76-77 on the year and play the Angels and Athletics next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .244 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 169 hits and 80 RBI while Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 315 hits and 174 RBI.

Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-11 with a 4.91 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 5.02 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals Betting Trends: September 19, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 5-11      ERA: 4.91
• Home Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Blue Jays.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Royals have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 1.80
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Royals: –

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Royals at Kauffman Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Michael Massey has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one Double in three of the Royals’ last four games against the Blue Jays.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 games against the Blue Jays.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (169) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as favorites.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.391) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1034).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (404).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1398).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.268).

Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Royals have fallen apart over the last few weeks and aren’t a team I’m excited to back over the next week. Lorenzen has allowed 21 hits and 12 runs in his last 15.1 innings. Scherzer has been a shell of himself for the most part, but the Blue Jays have won 5 of his last 6 starts, and they’ve been kind to us overall this season. Scherzer has been at his best on the road this season, with a 4.19 ERA and .214 allowed batting average. The Blue Jays are closing in on an AL East crown. I’ll ride with the road team and their Hall of Fame pitcher.