
Royals vs Braves Prediction 7/30/25 MLB Picks Today
Atlanta Braves (45-61) vs. Kansas City Royals (53-55)
July 30, 2025 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals / Atlanta Braves; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 30th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 53-55 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 7-10 and 9-6. In their game two win, Kansas City led 4-0 in the second inning and added five more runs in the sixth for the victory. The Royals recorded 12 hits in the game, and they were led by Isbel, who went 1-4 with three RBIs in the win. KC started Lugo, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Estevez picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Cubs. Kansas City has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 392 runs with a .245 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 18 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Angel Zerpa, who is 3-1 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 43.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 45-61 this season after they lost game two by a score of 9-6 on Tuesday night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 4-3 in the sixth inning, but their bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Braves recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ozuna, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Fedde, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while De Los Santos allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost all three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Giants. Atlanta has lost six of their last seven games, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 443 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 16 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Joey Wentz, who is 2-2 with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Royals
- The Braves have won each of their last eight Wednesday games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games following a home win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Braves and Royals at Kauffman Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last seven Wednesday games at Kauffman Stadium.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit a home run in four of the Royals’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last three games against NL opponents.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 17 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five road games against AL Central opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against AL Central opponents.
Royals vs Braves Prediction
These two teams have combined for 32 runs in the first two games of this series, and each side will look for the series win here. Atlanta is 19-35 on the road this year, while Kansas City is 27-28 on the road. The Royals are starting Zerpa, who is expected to be an opener. The Braves are going with Wentz, who has allowed three earned runs in 11.1 innings since being acquired from Minnesota. Both of these teams are swinging a hot bat right now, but I do like how Wentz has pitched in limited action with the Braves. Take Atlanta here.