Royals vs Braves Prediction 3/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, March 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 1-0 record this season and are sitting in first place of the NL East. They are coming off a 6-0 home win over the Royals and their previous three games were a 3-2 home win over the Rays, a 5-2 road win over the Pirates, and a 7-3 road loss to the Twins in spring training.

The Braves have a .324 batting average this season, .395 OBP and .647 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 0.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. Austin Riley is the team’s best hitter with a 1.000 batting average. Mauricio Dubon leads the team in RBI with 2, and Ozzie Albies added a team-high one home run.

Reynaldo Lopez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and last season he had a 0-0 record, 5.40 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 0-1 record this season and are sitting in last place of the AL Central. They are coming off a 6-0 road defeat by the Braves and their previous three games were a 4-1 road loss to the Rangers, a 3-2 road loss to the Rangers, and a 6-5 home win over the Rockies in spring training.

The Royals have a .167 batting average this season, .265 OBP and .167 Slugging percentage. Kansas City’s pitching staff has a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .500 batting average.

Michael Wacha (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals, and last season he had a 10-13 record, 3.86 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: March 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Home Record: –
• Last 5 against Royals: 0-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last nine Saturday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Wacha      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-3

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won each of their last six games following a loss.
• The Braves have lost each of their last three Saturday games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
• The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Royals’ last nine night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last eight night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Braves’ last five games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as favorites.
• Jurickson Profar has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Double in three of the Royals’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals’ last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Michael Wacha has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Michael Wacha has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranked 1st in the league in Hits (184) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves ranked 3rd in the league for walks last season (575).
• The Braves ranked 26th in the league for steals last season (82).
• The Royals ranked 1st in the league for strikeouts against last season (1096).
• The Royals ranked 29th in the league for walks last season (435).

Royals vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Royals and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Royals vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -150 home favorites. The Braves shut out the Royals in the opening day yesterday and their offense looked really good compared to the Royals’. They are putting Reynaldo Lopez on the mound, who played just one game last season but was excellent back in 2024. He is going up Michael Wacha who was very good last season with a 3.86 ERA and was slightly better on the road. The total is set at 8.5 runs and with those pitchers on the mound and the Royals’ offense struggling, I will go under that number.