Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction 7/4/25 MLB Picks Today

The Kansas City Royals are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday, July 4^th at the Chase Field in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

The Kansas City Royals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 43-44 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 22-23 home record and are 45-37 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-7 home defeat by the Giants, and are 2-6 in their last 8 games. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games, and they are playing the Padres and the Angels next.

The Diamondbacks have a .254 batting average this season, a .328 OBP, and a .449 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 90 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 70, and in home runs with 27.

Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 3-4 record, 5.13 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 41-47 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the AL Central. The Royals have a 21-23 road record and are 34-53 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 road victory over the Mariners, and are 3-9 in their last 12 games. Under is 9-3 in their last 12 games, and are playing the Mets and the Pirates next.

The Royals have a .242 batting average this season, a .298 OBP, and a .362 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 100 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 49, adding a team-high 12 home runs.

Kris Bubic (L) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 6-6 record, 2.25 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have lost five of their last six road games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against American League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at Chase Field against American League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won six of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games.
• The Royals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last five night games at Chase Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.449).
• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (451).
• The Royals rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (290).
• The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (58).

Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Royals, and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Arizona. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -115 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records and similar home/away splits. Neither team is in good form, but the Royals have the huge pitching advantage, as Bubic goes up against Rodriguez. The Royals have the 6^th-best bullpen in the league, while the Dbacks are third to last, so I like the Kansas City Royals to win on the road today.