Royals vs Guardians Prediction 7/26/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 26th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 50-53 this year after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 12-4, 0-6, and 8-4. In their game three win, Kansas City jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first inning and they led the whole way for the victory. The Royals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Pasquantino, who went 3-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. KC started Lugo, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Cruz and Schreiber allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Mets. Kansas City has won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 363 runs with a .245 batting average and a .299 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 17 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 18 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City in game one in Michael Wacha, who is 4-9 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 112.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starter in game two is Kris Bubic, who is 8-6 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 113.2 innings pitched. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 51-51 this season after they won three out of four against Baltimore by scores of 10-5, 6-3, 3-2, and 3-4. In their game four loss, Cleveland erased a 3-0 deficit, but allowed the winning run in the seventh. The Guardians recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Kwan, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs in the loss. Cleveland started Allen, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while four pitchers finished the final eight outs. 

Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Athletics and three out of four against the White Sox. Cleveland has won 11 of their last 14 games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 393 runs with a .224 batting average and a .298 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 21 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 16 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland in game one is Gavin Williams, who is 6-4 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 104.1 innings pitched this season. The starter for game two is Tanner Bibee, who is 6-9 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 116.0 innings pitched. 

Why the Royals will beat the Guardians

• The Guardians have lost each of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have won each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents.

Why the Guardians will beat the Royals

• The Royals have lost each of their last 12 day games against the Guardians following a road win.
• The Guardians have won each of their last eight day games against the Royals following a home loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Royals’ last nine day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Guardians’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Guardians and Royals.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games at Kauffman Stadium.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Michael Wacha has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine home appearances.
• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last five games.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances after not playing the previous day.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last seven road games against AL opponents.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Royals vs Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this doubleheader looking to continue gaining ground on the struggling Tigers, but they will be on the road here. The Guardians are 26-26 on the road this year, while the Royals are 24-26 at home. Kansas City has won three of their last four and is looking for more consistent offense. In game one, I think Wacha has the edge over Williams, so I like the Royals to win. In game two, we have seen some inconsistencies with both pitchers, so I like the over there.