Royals vs Mets Prediction 7/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Royals vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Royals vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 53-41 on the year and play the Reds, Angels, and Giants next. The New York Mets are batting .244 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .415 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 100 hits and 76 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 184 hits and 104 RBI.

Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-3 with a 1.47 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Senga’s second career game against the Kansas City Royals.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 46-48 on the year and play the Marlines, Cubs, and Guardians next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .245 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .375 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 109 hits and 52 RBI while Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 200 hits and 96 RBI.

Michael Wacha gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 4-9 with a 3.83 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. Wacha is 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Royals have won eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Royals have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Royals have lost nine of their last 10 home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won six of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last three night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Michael Wacha has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 4th in the league in Hits (109) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Royals vs Mets Prediction

The Mets have found their footing over the last week or so, and they’re hard to bet against when playing well. The problem here is that Senga hasn’t pitched in a month as he battled a hamstring issue, so who knows what to expect in this spot. The Royals are having a strong week and Wacha has been respectable with a 3.83 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. In 51.1 home innings, Wacha has a 2.81 ERA and .242 allowed batting average. The Royals are at home with the more trustworthy pitching situation. Give me the Royals on Friday night.