Boston Red Sox (20-20) vs. Kansas City Royals (24-16)
May 10, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -102 / Boston Red Sox -118; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 10th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 24-16 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 in extra innings. Kansas City didn’t score in the first ten innings of the game, but they scored once in the 11th and once in the 12th to get the win. The Royals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Fermin and Pasquantino, who both had RBIs in the win. Kansas City started Lorenzen, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Cruz was credited with the win out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Royals swept the White Sox in four games and won two out of three against the Orioles. Kansas City has won seven games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 2.81 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 141 runs with a .244 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with six home runs and 24 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added five home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Cole Ragans, who is 2-1 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 35.2 innings pitched this year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 20-20 this season after they lost a heartbreaker on Friday night. Boston battled hard all night, but they only managed to score one run in 12 innings for the tough loss. The Red Sox recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Devers, who had their lone RBI in the game. Boston started Dobbins, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Newcomb took the loss in the 12th.
Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Rangers, but did lose two out of three against the Twins before that. Boston has lost four of their last six games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 192 runs with a .250 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with nine home runs and 30 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added nine home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 3-2 with a 2.02 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Royals will beat the Red Sox
- The Royals have won each of their last seven games.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven road games after going to extra innings.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Royals have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three games.
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Royals vs Red Sox Prediction
Kansas City comes into this matchup after winning 10 of their last 11 games and they are 16-5 at home so far this year. The Royals are starting Ragans, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. Boston is just 9-11 on the road this season and their offense has been inconsistent over the last two weeks. The Red Sox are starting Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. This is a very solid pitching matchup, but I have to keep riding the Royals on this winning streak.
