Royals vs Red Sox Prediction 5/9/25 MLB Picks Today

The Boston Red Sox and the Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Red Sox Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will start Hunter Dobbins here, and Dobbins is 2-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobbins’ first career start against the Royals. The Kansas City Royals will start Michael Lorenzen here, and Lorenzen is 3-3 with a 4.23 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. This will be Lorenzen’s first career start against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their 5-0 win over the Texas Rangers in Thursday’s series finale to improve to 20-19 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Red Sox Win Back-To-Back Games

Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 48 hits, including a team-high 15 doubles, along with 9 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Rafael Devers has added 37 hits with 11 doubles, 6 home runs and 25 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 37 hits with 5 home runs, 16 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 43 hits with 9 doubles, 4 triples, 2 home runs, 20 RBIs, and a team-high 11 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 33 hits with 8 doubles, 4 homers, and 13 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 9 home runs with 25 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 2 homers, 15 RBIs, and 7 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Royals have lost eight of their last nine night games against the Red Sox following a home win.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Red Sox following a home win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as favorites against the Royals.
• Alex Bregman has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites against the Royals.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in five of the Red Sox’s last six road games.
• Alex Bregman has recorded a Single in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight road games.
• Alex Bregman ranks 5th in the league in Hits (48) this season.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to add on to their 10-0 win over the Chicago White Sox in Thursday’s series finale to improve to 23-16 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.

Royals Win Six In A Row

Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high 49 hits with 16 doubles and 13 stolen bases, while Vinnie Pasquantino has 32 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs, and 23 RBIs. Maikel Garcia added 43 hits with 10 doubles, 4 home runs, and 17 RBIs and 9 stolen bases, and Salvador Perez also has 2 home runs and 20 RBIs but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Royals with 30 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won each of their last eight Friday games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last nine Friday home games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Isbel has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Royals as underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Royals’ last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Mark Canha has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Mark Canha has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Royals as home underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Royals vs Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Royals here. I get the case to be made for the Red Sox after how they took two of three from the Rangers, but the problem here is that the Royals are hot. Lorenzen has been pitching his best ball at home this season. I think the Royals start the series with a bang here and get the job done, so give me Kansas City in this one.