Atlanta Braves (89-74) vs. San Diego Padres (94-69)
October 2, 2024 8:38 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -115 / Atlanta Braves -103; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB game 2 of the NL Wild Card at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves lost game 1, 4-0, and need a win to save their season. The Atlanta Braves previously played the Royals and Mets to finish the regular season. The Atlanta Braves have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Michael Harris leads the Atlanta Braves with 2 hits, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 3 hits.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres look for another win to make the NLDS for the third time in the last 5 years. The San Diego Padres previously played the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. The San Diego Padres have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The San Diego Padres have won 11 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Luis Arraez leads the San Diego Padres with 1 hit, while Kyle Higashioka and Jackson Merrill have combined for 2 hits and 2 RBI.
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup
Max Fried gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 11-10 with a 3.25 ERA and 166 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 64 strikeouts in his postseason career. Fried is 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Joe Musgrove gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-5 with a 3.88 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his postseason career. Musgrove is 3-1 with a 4.29 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last five games at Petco Park.
- The Braves have lost each of their last five road playoff games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven playoff games.
- The Padres have covered the run line each of their last eight Wednesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Petco Park.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven playoff games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Padres’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last six games as home favorites.
- Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in nine of the Padres’ last 10 games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Joe Musgrove has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Padres as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 12 games as favorites.
- Joe Musgrove has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.314) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Jorge Soler has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves’ last five road games against NL opponents.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Michael Harris has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Adam Duvall has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against the Padres.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight playoff games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1456).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.263).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.49).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1553).
San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
The Atlanta Braves are worth a look considering Max Fried has pitched better this season than Joe Musgrove, but none of that matters if the Braves can’t string together offense. As I’ve said these last couple of months, the San Diego Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball and not a team I’m eager to step in front of. These Padres feel different and are oozing with confidence. I expect these Padres to make a deep run and wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if you were looking at a futures bet. Give me the Padres for a win and a third NLDS trip in the last 5 seasons.
