San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 9-20-24 MLB Picks
Chicago White Sox (36-117) vs. San Diego Padres (87-66)
September 20, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -238 / Chicago White Sox +196; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago White Sox and the San Diego Padres square off Friday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago White Sox will send out Garrett Crochet for the start here and Crochet is 6-12 with a 3.78 ERA and 195 strikeouts this season. This will be Crochet’s first career start against the Padres. Joe Musgrove will get the start for the Padres here and is 6-5 with a 4.23 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. This will be Musgrove’s second career start against the White Sox.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox come into this one looking to rebound from their series loss to the Los Angeles Angels following a 4-3 loss in Wednesday’s rubber match. The good vibes for the White Sox were short-lived following their series win over the Oakland A’s from last weekend.
White Sox Closing In On Wrong Kind Of History
Gavin Sheets has a .238 batting average and a .309 OBP along with 24 doubles and 45 RBIs while Andrew Vaughn has 19 homers and 67 RBIs and Andrew Benintendi has 19 home runs and 60 RBIs with Vaughn logging 29 doubles as well as a team-high 132 hits.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The Padres have lost six of their last seven games as favorites following a home win.
- The road team has won each of the last four games between the White Sox and Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a home win.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games following an extra innings loss.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Houston Astros after winning Wednesday’s rubber match against the ‘Stros by a final score of 4-0. The win made it back-to-back series wins after taking out the Giants last weekend.
Padres Trying To Lock Up Wild Card Spot
Jurickson Profar has 151 hits along with a .283 batting average and 27 doubles with 23 homers and 83 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 78 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 19 home runs, 46 RBIs, and 103 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 157 hits, 29 home runs, and 104 RBIs but also has 114 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 24 home runs, 86 RBIs, and 28 doubles with 6 triples this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The White Sox have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have won each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
I’m on the Padres here. Garrett Crochet hasn’t been going overly deep into his starts and even when he’s pitching fairly well, he’s still taking the loss because he gets zero run support. The Padres are the better team with the better starter and better bullpen and something to play for. A simple case of the haves vs. the have-nots, and I think the Padres beat up on the White Sox here.