San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5-1-24 Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-14 this season after wins over the Phillies and Rangers. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 9 of their last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 29 hits and 19 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Will Benson have combined for 49 hits and 32 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 15-18 this season after losses to the Rockies and Phillies. The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The San Diego Padres have won 9 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 34 hits and 19 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 60 hits and 37 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Graham Ashcraft gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Ashcraft has allowed 14 earned runs in 28.2 innings and has allowed at least 1 homer in 4 of his 5 starts. Ashcraft has a 2.00 ERA in 18 innings on the road. Ashcraft is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Joe Musgrove gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Musgrove has allowed 18 runs in his last 26.2 innings and has a 6.49 ERA at home. Musgrove is allowing a .326 batting average on the season. Musgrove is 6-2 with a 3.83 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

• The Padres have lost each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Reds and Padres.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

• The Reds have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three day games at Petco Park.

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

We know what Joe Musgrove is capable of when he’s right, but he was a mess through the month of April and is coming off his worst start of the season. Musgrove is allowing a .326 batting average on the season. Graham Ashcraft has had some of his best moments this season on the road, but he’s not lighting the world on fire, either. Both the Reds and Padres have lineups capable of giving these two shaky pitchers trouble. Quick turnaround and reasonable total. Give me the over 8.5 in the final game between the Reds and Padres.