Detroit Tigers (70-69) vs. San Diego Padres (79-61)
September 5, 2024 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -145 / Detroit Tigers +122; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Tigers and San Diego Padres meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 70-70 on the year and play the Athletics and Rockies next. The Detroit Tigers have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 12 games. The Detroit Tigers have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Matt Vierling leads the Detroit Tigers with 119 hits and 51 RBI while Colt Keith and Riley Greene have combined for 225 hits and 111 RBI.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 80-61 on the year and play the Giants and Mariners next. The San Diego Padres have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The San Diego Padres have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jackson Merrill leads the San Diego Padres with 143 hits and 82 RBI while Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar have combined for 276 hits and 167 RBI.
Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup
Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 2-6 with a 4.25 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Mize has allowed 8 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 11.1 innings. Mize has a 5.05 ERA and a .311 allowed batting average in 35.2 road innings. This will be Mize’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
Martin Perez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-5 with a 4.71 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Perez has allowed 29 hits and 12 runs in his last 31.2 innings. Perez has a 3.80 ERA and a .284 allowed batting average in 66.1 home innings. Perez is 2-5 with a 5.56 ERA and 61 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.
- The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last five night games.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- Martin Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances against the Tigers.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Luis Arraez ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.311) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Matt Vierling has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three games against NL West opponents.
- Javier Baez has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 13 appearances against the Padres.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one Single in each of the Tigers’ last seven road games.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one total base in each of the Tigers’ last 10 road games.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 road games.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1273).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 1st in the league for triples this season (40).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.296).
San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Detroit Tigers and plus money is worth a look when you consider they’re still fighting for a playoff spot. However, the San Diego Padres are getting healthier, they’re finding ways to win and games like last night only add to the confidence. The Padres are a tough team to step in front of right now. Martin Perez is also starting to look more like Martin Perez, as he’s coming off a strong month of August, allowing just 12 runs in his last 31.2 innings. The price is reasonable. Casey Mize isn’t anything special. Give me the Padres.
