San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction 9-17-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 17th, at Petco Park. 

Astros Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Astros offense only scored one run on Monday and they ended up winning by losing two runs. Spencer Arrighetti is on the mound and he flirted with fire all night. He went five innings giving up eight hits and two runs. The Astros are averaging 4.63 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.0 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league while the pitching is ranked 5th. 

Yordan Alveraz has hit 34 home runs and driven in 85 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Astros will be Hunter Brown who sits with an 11-8 record and an ERA of 3.59. In his last start against the Oakland Athletics, he went five innings giving up nine hits and five runs. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Padres

• The Padres have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.

Padres Pitching Dominated

The Padres pitching dominated on Monday giving up only one run and that was enough for the victory. Yu Darvish went six innings giving up three hits and zero runs. Jackson Merrill also hit a home run. The Padres are averaging 4.73 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.21 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th in the league while the pitching is ranked 11th. They have a run differential of 0.57 runs which is 8th in the league. 

Manny Machado has hit 26 home runs and driven in 99 RBIs. Getting the start for the Padres will be Michael King who sits with a 12-9 record and an ERA of 3.06. In his last start against the Seattle Mariners, he went five innings giving up four hits and three runs.

San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction

This is a great place to take the Astros to bounce back. Brown in his last start gave up five runs but overall this season he has been good. Brown is going to have a strong start here. King has also been good but it’s not going to take too many runs for the Astros to get the job done. It might only take two or three runs. Back the Astros to get the job done on the money line.