San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 8-6-23 MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in game three of their four-game NL West division set in MLB action from Petco Park in this week’s edition of Sunday Night Baseball. San Diego evened up the series with a win on Saturday, can the Dodgers retake the series lead? Or will the Padres surge ahead? Let’s dive in and find out.

Dodgers Fall Flat On Saturday

The Los Angeles Dodgers had been rolling along pretty well as of late, but stumbled on Saturday with an 8-3 loss. The defeat dropped the Dodgers to 63-46 on the year, still sitting 3 games clear of the Giants at the top of the mountain in the NL West race. Mookie Betts leads the Dodgers with 29 home runs in addition to 70 RBIs while Max Muncy is right alongside with 27 homers of his own and 70 RBIs. J.D. Martinez has 25 home runs to go along with 76 RBIs while Freddie Freeman has a team-high 147 hits, 77 RBIs, a .337 batting average and a .414 OBP in addition to 22 homers and 40 doubles this season. Lance Lynn will start for the Dodgers and is 7-9 with a 6.32 ERA and 151 strikeouts this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

• The Dodgers have lost each of their last eight Sunday games as favourites.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as favourites.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favourites.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Padres.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six Sunday games as favourites.

Padres Finish Strong On Saturday

The San Diego Padres managed to snag the win on Saturday, improving their record to 55-56 on the year, but still sitting 9 games back in the NL West division race and 3 games off the pace for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Juan Soto leads the Padres with 24 home runs and 72 RBIs with a .424 OBP as well while Xander Bogaerts has a team-high 108 hits. Trent Grisham leads San Diego with 26 doubles as well this season. Rich Hill will get the nod for San Diego in this one and is 7-10 with a 4.76 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

• The Padres have lost eight of their last nine day games against the Dodgers at Petco Park following a home win.
• The Padres have covered the run line seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four day games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.72).
• The San Diego Padres ranks 2nd in the league for walks this season (460).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 1st in the league for walks this season (462).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for home runs this season (176).

Chris’ Pick

Over. Over. Over. I can’t stress enough how little I want to do with this starting pitching matchup of Hill vs. Lynn, and I honestly think both starters get roughed up here. I was surprised, I thought this series was going to be low-scoring based on what we saw in past meetings but the first two games have been anything but. Give me the over.