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San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction 5-29-24 Picks

Miami Marlins (19-37) vs. San Diego Padres (30-28)
May 29, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -167 / Miami Marlins +141; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 29th at Petco Park. 

Marlins Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Marlins offense really struggled on Tuesday and they failed to score any runs. Starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo went six innings giving up seven hits and three runs. The Marlins are averaging 3.67 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.11 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league while the pitching is ranked 29th. They do have a negative run differential of -1.44 runs which is 29th in the league. Bryan De La Cruz has hit nine home runs and driven in 25 RBIs. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Braxton Garrett who sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 5.30. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, he went nine innings giving up four hits and zero runs. 

Why Marlins Will Win

  • The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last six games as home favorites.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games.
  • The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as home favorites.

Padres Coming Off A Shutout Win

The Padres are a coming off a shutout win on Tuesday. The Padres scored four runs and they were able to beat the Miami Marlins. Jurickson Profar hit a home run and drove in three RBIs. The Padres are averaging 4.39 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.23 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th in the league while the pitching is ranked 12th. They have a run differential of 0.16 which is 10th in the league. Getting the start for the Padres will be Yu Darvish who sits with a 4-2 record and an ERA of 3.04. In his last start against the Yankees, he went 5.2 innings giving up nine hits and seven runs. 

Why Padres Will Win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have won eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction

There is going to be no shortage of scoring in this game. Garrett overall sits with an ERA of 5.30 and he’s going to be lit up here in this game by the Padres. Yu Darvish in his last game gave up seven runs and he’s going to really struggle in this game too. Both of the offenses are going to tee off and that is going to be the difference here as this game is going to go over the total. Back the over to cash. 

 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Over

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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