NY Mets (66-61) vs. San Diego Padres (72-55)
August 22, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -147 / NY Mets +124; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Mets and San Diego Padres meet Thursday in MLB game 1 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs NY Mets Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs NY Mets Pick.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets are 66-61 on the year after playing the Marlins and Orioles. The NY Mets have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 9 games. The NY Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 138 hits and 73 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 218 hits and 141 RBI.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 72-56 on the year after playing the Rockies and Twins. The San Diego Padres have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The San Diego Padres have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 129 hits and 76 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 250 hits and 144 RBI.
NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup
Luis Severino gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 8-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 18 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 19 innings. Severino has a 4.85 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 65 road innings. This will be Severino’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.
Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 12-9 with a 3.46 ERA and 186 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 10 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 11.2 innings. Cease has a 3.17 ERA and .197 allowed batting average in 65.1 home innings. Cease is 0-2 with a 9.28 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.
Why the New York Mets will Beat the Padres
- The Mets have won each of their last six night games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Padres have lost each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Thursday night home games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- David Peralta has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four home games against NL opponents.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Padres as favorites against the Mets.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Mets.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- J.D. Martinez has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Pete Alonso has recorded a Single in each of the Mets’ last seven road games against NL West opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last 11 Thursday appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
- Luis Severino has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
San Diego Padres vs NY Mets Prediction
We’ve been riding with the San Diego Padres a lot in the second half of the season, and they should be favored at home with Dylan Cease on the mound. However, we’re getting nice plus money with a motivated Mets team that’s found their offense and has a respectable Luis Severino on the hill. This is just one of those spots where two teams have things to play for and are playing well, so whichever side is giving me the more favorable line is the spot I was going to lean. Mets it is on this fine Thursday night.
