Washington Nationals (38-39) vs. San Diego Padres (41-41)
June 24, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -233 / Washington Nationals +192; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals look to get back to a .500 record after games against the Diamondbacks and Rockies. The Washington Nationals have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Washington Nationals have lost 6 of their last 10 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 76 hits and 39 RBI, while Jesse Winker and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 126 hits and 67 RBI.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres look to get above a .500 record after games against the Phillies and Brewers. The San Diego Padres have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The San Diego Padres have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 87 hits and 48 RBI, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 165 hits and 85 RBI.
Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup
Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-7 with a 5.60 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Corbin has allowed 14 hits and 8 runs in his last 15.2 innings. Corbin has a 5.53 ERA and .339 allowed batting average in 42.1 road innings. Corbin is 7-11 with a 4.80 ERA and 117 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Waldron has allowed 13 hits and 5 runs in his last 26.1 innings. Waldron has a 4.36 ERA and .254 allowed batting average in 33 home innings. This will be Waldron’s second career game against the Washington Nationals.
Why the San Diego Padres will Beat The Nationals
- The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Padres have won each of their last four games following a home loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a home loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL West opponents following a win.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two night games.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jurickson Profar ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.319) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Double in four of the Nationals’ last five night games.
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four games against NL West opponents.
- Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in 10 of the Nationals’ last 11 games against NL opponents.
- CJ Abrams has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals’ last eight night games.
- Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 Monday appearances in night games.
- Joey Meneses has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
- Joey Meneses has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine games against the Padres.
- Lane Thomas ranks T10th in the league in Steals (17) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (722).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (720).
- The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (65).
- The Washington Nationals rank 28th in the league for triples this season (7).
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction
I’m not running to the window to lay these sorts of prices with the Padres, a team that’s underachieved the last few seasons. However, Patrick Corbin is a pitcher we’ve faded a lot over the years, and this season is no different. Corbin is easily one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball, and that includes a 5.73 ERA and 1.55 WHIP since 2021. I see Corbin, I fade. It’s just that simple. Of course, I’d grab the RL as well to shave down the juice.
