San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/9/26 MLB Picks Today
Washington Nationals (67-80) vs. San Diego Padres (77-68)
September 9, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -193 / Washington Nationals +158; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and the San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will send out Jackson Kent for the start here and Kent is 1-3 with a 5.55 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Walker Buehler will start for the Padres here and Buehler is 8-6 with a 4.56 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Padres last time out to sit at 67-80 this season. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.
Nationals Lose 6 Straight
ames Wood has 121 hits with 28 doubles, 30 home runs and 74 RBIs while CJ Abrams has 137 hits with 26 doubles, 30 home runs and 95 RBIs. Daylen Lile has 139 hits with 27 doubles, 20 home runs and 82 RBIs. Jacob Young has 96 hits with 10 home runs and 45 RBIs while Nasim Nunez has 86 hits with 3 triples and 35 RBIs.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their win over Washington from Tuesday to sit at 77-68 this season. After this series, the Padres will take on the San Francisco Giants in a series on the road.
Padres Pick Up 3 Wins In A Row
Jackson Merrill has 128 hits with 22 doubles, 22 home runs and 70 RBIs while Gavin Sheets has 75 hits with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 155 hits with 29 doubles, 20 home runs and 71 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 101 hits with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 52 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 114 hits with 21 doubles, 26 home runs and 77 RBIs as well on the year.
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: September 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler Record this season: 8-6 ERA: 4.56
- Home Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Nationals: 4-0
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 12 road games against NL opponents.
- The Padres have won seven of their last eight home games against the Nationals.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five Wednesday home games.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road day games.
- The Padres have won the first inning in three of their last four day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jackson Kent Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 5.55
- Road Record: 0-3
- Last 5 against Padres: –
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Padres have lost four of their last six games as favorites against NL opponents following a win.
- The Nationals have won five of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against NL opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last seven games.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Padres’ last 12 games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five day games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Padres’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Nationals’ last six games at Petco Park.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three day games.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Walker Buehler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Nationals.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T5th in the league in Hits (158) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Kent has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances against NL opponents.
- Jorbit Vivas has recorded a hit in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (45) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 27th in the league for hits this season (1126).
- The Padres rank 4th in the league for steals this season (142).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (156).
- The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (754).
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the Padres in this one. Buehler continues to be a profitable option for the Padres’ rotation this season and Jackson Kent has had issues in his brief major league tenure up to this point in the year. The Padres’ bullpen also continues to be the superior bullpen at this point and I look for the Padres to get the job done here. Give me San Diego.