San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 7-30-23 MLB Picks
San Francisco Giants (57-48) vs Boston Red Sox (56-48)
2023-07-30 16:05:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants / Boston Red Sox --- Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Red Sox and Giants clash Sunday in game 3 of an MLB series at Oracle Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox look to stay hot after winning 5 of their last 6 games. The Red Sox are 2.5 games back in the wild card race. The Red Sox pitching staff is 17th in ERA (4.25), 18th in WHIP (1.29) and 24th in quality starts (31). The Red Sox offense is 5th in runs per game (5.01), 3rd in batting average (.265) and 20th in homers (116). Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with 110 hits and 53 RBI, while Justin Turner and Rafael Devers have combined for 209 hits and 144 RBI. Brennan Bernardino gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. This will be Bernardino’s second career game against the Giants.
Boston Red Sox Team Facts
- The underdogs have won each of the Red Sox’s last four games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games against NL West opponents.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against NL West opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road favourites.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five road games against NL opponents.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Sunday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Justin Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as favourites against NL opponents.
- Triston Casas has scored at least one run in nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 games against NL opponents.
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Masataka Yoshida ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.312) this season.
Giants Betting Preview
The Giants need a win after losing 7 of their last 10 games. The Giants are 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants pitching staff is 10th in ERA (3.94), 9th in WHIP (1.25) and 15th in quality starts (37). The Giants’ offense is 16th in runs per game (4.50), 19th in batting average (.242) and 15th in homers (121). JD Davis leads the Giants with 85 hits and 52 RBI, while Thairo Estrada and LaMonte Wade Jr. have combined for 155 hits and 59 RBI. Ross Stripling gets the ball, and he is 0-4 with a 5.77 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Stripling is 4-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.
San Francisco Giants Team Facts
- The Giants have lost each of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Giants have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Red Sox.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Giants have led after 7 innings in six of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Austin Slater has scored a run in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Wilmer Flores has hit a home run in two of the Giants’ last three games as underdogs.
- Wilmer Flores has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last seven day games.
- Wilmer Flores has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Giants’ last four day games.
- Wilmer Flores has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Giants as home underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Francisco Giants ranks 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (269).
- The San Francisco Giants ranks 29th in the league for steals this season (46).
- The Boston Red Sox ranks 1st in the league for doubles this season (231).
- The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for hits this season (943).
Randy’s Pick
The Red Sox have looked good over the last two weeks and Brennan Bernardino has shown promise despite the small sample size. The Giants have taken a step back for much of the second half of the season, and Ross Stripling isn’t a pitcher I’m excited to get behind. Stripling has a 5.77 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the season. At home, Stripling has a 7.97 ERA and .318 allowed batting average. The Red Sox should have little trouble putting up a decent number offensively in this spot. Give me the road team.