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San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 4-28-24 Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates (14-14) vs. San Francisco Giants (13-15)
April 28, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -120 / Pittsburgh Pirates +102; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants prediction.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates look to get above a .500 record before taking on the Athletics after this. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 27 hits and 15 RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Oneil Cruz have combined for 50 hits and 16 RBI.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 13-15 on the season and play the Red Sox next. The San Francisco Giants have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The San Francisco Giants have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Michael Conforto leads the San Francisco Giants with 28 hits and 16 RBI, while Jung Hoo Lee and Matt Chapman have combined for 51 hits and 21 RBI.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Matchup

Jared Jones gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Jones will make his sixth career start, and he’s been ridiculous as a rookie, as he’s 28th in ERA, fifth in strikeouts and sixth in WHIP. Jones is in the conversation for NL Rookie of the Year. This will be Jones’ first career game against the San Francisco Giants.

Keaton Winn gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 2-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Winn has allowed 8 hits and 2 runs while striking out 10 in his last 12 innings. Winn and his 1.04 WHIP is top-25 in MLB this season. This will be Winn’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

San Francisco Giants Team Facts

  • The Giants have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games after going to extra innings.
  • The Giants have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against the Pirates.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last six games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have won each of their last five games following an extra innings win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine games following an extra innings win.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six road games.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants prediction

The Giants are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but neither the Pirates nor Giants are finding easy offense. I want the team that’s getting the more favorable price. It doesn’t hurt that Jared Jones is on the mound for the Giants, as he’s been a top-30 pitcher up to this point and is in the thick of the NL Rookie of the Year. If this continues, you’re not going to get Jones in the underdog role much moving forward. I’ll take a stab with the Pirates and the better price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +102

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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