Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/4/26 MLB Picks Today

The Atlanta Braves and the Seattle Mariners meet Monday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out JR Ritchie for the start here and Ritchie is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Ritchie’s first career start against the Mariners. Logan Gilbert will start for Seattle and is 1-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gilbert is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their 11-6 win over the Colorado Rockies from Sunday to improve to 25-10 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Braves Win Another Series

Drake Baldwin has 45 hits with 5 doubles, 8 home runs and 29 RBIs while Matt Olson has 41 hits with 15 doubles, 11 homers and 31 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 45 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 32 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs. Austin Riley has 27 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 21 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 34 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 32 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs and 18 RBIs this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Royals on Sunday to fall to 16-19 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Mariners Lose 3 In A Row

Brendan Donovan has 17 hits with 3 doubles, 3 home runs and 8 RBIs while Luke Raley has 5 home runs and 13 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 33 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 19 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 24 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 18 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 34 hits with 9 doubles, 3 home runs and 12 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 27 hits with 4 home runs and 17 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 37 hits with 7 doubles,4 home runs and 16 RBIs.

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: May 4, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 4.03
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-0

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Braves have lost six of their last seven night games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Mariners have won four of their last five home games against the Braves.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Braves.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight road games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Ritchie      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 2.92
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Mariners: –

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
• The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last seven home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Braves’ last 11 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 13 games as home favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 road games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 17 of his last 21 appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
• Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three night games.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 games.
• Ozzie Albies ranks T1st in the league in Hits (45) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (87).
• The Mariners rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (320).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (205).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (334).

Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I just think that while Logan Gilbert historically has done well int his ballpark, the Mariners’ offense behind him continues to be inconsistent and hard to back in a matchup like this. Atlanta’s bats continue to crank and while I am slightly concerned about this game off of the Coors Field series with no day off in between to reacclimate from the altitude change, I still think Atlanta has enough in the tank to bag the win to start the series. Give me Atlanta.