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Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7-4-24 Picks

Baltimore Orioles (54-31) vs. Seattle Mariners (47-40)
July 4, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners +130 / Baltimore Orioles -154; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 55-31 on the year and play the Athletics and Cubs next. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 95 hits and 55 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have combined for 180 hits and 106 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 47-41 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Padres next. The Seattle Mariners have scored 4 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 4 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 84 hits and 29 RBI, while Josh Rojas and Ty France have combined for 120 hits and 45 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Corbin Burnes gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 9-3 with a 2.28 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Burnes has allowed 30 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 34 innings. Burnes has a 2.93 ERA and .189 allowed batting average in 46 road innings. Burnes is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Bryce Miller gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 6-7 with a 3.88 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Miller has allowed 28 hits and 17 earned runs in his last 32.2 innings. Miller has a 1.99 ERA and .169 allowed batting average in 54.1 home innings. Miller is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Seattle Mariners will Beat the Orioles

  • The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last four games at T-Mobile Park.
  • The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents following a road win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last five games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances.
  • Dylan Moore has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against the Orioles.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Dylan Moore has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against the Orioles.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games as favorites against the Mariners.
  • Jorge Mateo has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Orioles as road favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles should be favored with the way they’re playing and having Corbin Burnes on the mound. The Mariners need to do some soul-searching or something to get their offense back on track. With that said, the Mariners are too good of a team to let these struggles last forever, they’re at home and Bryce Miller has been respectable this season, especially at home. I may get burned in this spot, but there is some value with the Mariners and the plus money. I’ll take a shot.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners +130

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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