Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 6-28-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in this series. 

Mariners Trying to Turn Things Around 

The Seattle Mariners are 46-37 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against Tampa Bay, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Guardians, and swept the Rangers in three games. Seattle is currently leading the AL West standings, but their lead is down to 4.5 games over the Astros. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 325 runs with a .219 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .204 with 14 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. 

Twins are Pursuing the Guardians

The Minnesota Twins are 45-36 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Arizona, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Athletics, lost two out of three against the Rays, and won all four against the Athletics. Minnesota is 10-4 in their last 14 games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 392 runs with a .249 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .309 with eight home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 5-4 with a 2.71 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 106.1 innings pitched this season. Gilbert has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts and has gone two straight starts with no earned runs across 16.0 innings. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 7-4 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this year. Ober has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts, but has only allowed three earned runs total in his last two outings. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins

• The Twins have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have won each of their last eight Friday home games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six home games following a road win.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Twins will beat the Mariners

• The Twins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games at T-Mobile Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Twins’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Twins and Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three games as underdogs.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Josh Rojas has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Mitch Garver has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last two night games.
• Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 Friday appearances.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Logan Gilbert ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.71) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last six road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Bailey Ober has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Manuel Margot has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances at T-Mobile Park.
• Carlos Correa ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.309) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (838).
• The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (199).
• The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (161).
• The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.424).

Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Seattle comes into this series leading the AL West standings, but they have not played very well recently and their lead is shrinking. The Twins have been one of the hotter teams in the MLB over the last few weeks and they are 22-20 on the road this year. Seattle has had most of their success at home, going 27-12 in Seattle, but they really need to string some wins together. Both of these starting pitchers have been great in recent outings and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game. My Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for this game to go under the total.