Minnesota Twins (45-37) vs. Seattle Mariners (47-37)
June 30, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners +147 / Minnesota Twins -175; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Pick.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 46-37 on the year and play the Tigers and Astros next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 79 hits and 27 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Carlos Santana have combined for 124 hits and 79 RBI.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 47-38 on the year and play the Orioles and Blue Jays next. The Seattle Mariners have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 82 hits and 29 RBI, while Josh Rojas and Ty France have combined for 112 hits and 45 RBI.
Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup
Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 5-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. Ryan has allowed 25 hits and 14 runs in his last 31 innings. Ryan has a 2.92 ERA and .219 allowed batting average in 49.1 road innings. Ryan is 0-3 with a 7.30 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.
Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 6-9 with a 3.79 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. Castillo has allowed 25 hits and 16 runs in his last 28.1 innings. Castillo has a 2.96 ERA and .237 allowed batting average in 48.2 home innings. Castillo is 1-2 with a 4.99 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the Seattle Mariners will Beat the Twins
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Twins have lost 11 of their last 12 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at T-Mobile Park against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Haniger has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last three day games.
- Luis Castillo has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Mitch Haniger has scored a run in each of the Mariners’ last five games against the Twins.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last five games as favorites.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at T-Mobile Park.
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances at T-Mobile Park.
- Carlos Correa ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.311) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for hits this season (602).
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.218).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (165).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (750).
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Twins are playing the better ball right now, and Joe Ryan has been sharp all season. However, this line is pretty surprising when you consider Luis Castillo is on the other side and the Mariners are at home. I would have expected this line to be closer toward a pick em, the fact we can get decent plus money makes me lean toward the Mariners in game 3 on Sunday.
