Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7/5/26 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Trey Yesavage for the start here and Yesavage is 4-3 with a 3.34 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Emerson Hancock will start for Seattle here and is 5-4 with a 3.47 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to shake off an 11-0 loss at the hands of Seattle last time out to sit at 42-47 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Blue Jays Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Entering Saturday, Andres Gimenez has 63 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 34 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 96 hits with 22 doubles, 7 home runs and 29 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 73 hits with 11 doubles, 19 home runs, 54 RBIs and a team-high 110 strikeouts while George Springer also has 11 doubles, 8 homers with 21 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 81 hits with 13 doubles, 4 home runs and 34 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 59 hits with 14 doubles, 7 home runs and 29 RBIs.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their win over Toronto from Saturday to improve to 46-44 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a set against the Miami Marlins.

Mariners Win 4 Of Last 5

Going into Saturday, Luke Raley has 14 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 82 hits with 12 doubles, a triple, 9 home runs and 41 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 34 hits with 5 doubles, 8 home runs and 24 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 83 hits with 20 doubles, 8 home runs and 37 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 81 hits with 8 home runs and 34 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 89 hits with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 40 RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: July 5, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Emerson Hancock      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 3.47
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have won each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage      Record this season: 4-3      ERA: 3.34
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Mariners: 1-1

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 16 of the Blue Jays’ last 18 games at T-Mobile Park.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as underdogs against the Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Mariners at T-Mobile Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games at T-Mobile Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last four games.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Dominic Canzone has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
• Emerson Hancock has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Randy Arozarena ranks T10th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Andres Gimenez has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three games as underdogs against the Mariners.
• Trey Yesavage has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Trey Yesavage has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Ernie Clement ranks T8th in the league in Hits (96) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (224).
• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (80).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (244).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the under in this game. Yesavage and Hancock have been two solid options in their respective rotations, and these are two quality bullpens against two offensive units that continue to be hit or miss at the plate. I think this has the makings of a 3-2 or 4-3 kind of game, so give me the under here.