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Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7-7-24 Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (40-49) vs. Seattle Mariners (49-42)
July 7, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -156 / Toronto Blue Jays +131; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 7th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Mariners Looking for More Home Success

The Seattle Mariners are 49-42 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Seattle won the first game in this series by a score of 2-1, but they did lose game two on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Orioles, lost two out of three against the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Seattle is 30-17 at home this season and they continue to lead the AL West standings. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 346 runs with a .216 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .201 with 15 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored three runs or fewer in eight of their last eleven games. 

Blue Jays Try for Rare Winning Streak 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 40-49 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Toronto lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 5-4 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost three out of four against the Astros, split four games with the Yankees, and split two games with the Red Sox. Toronto is just 5-13 in their last 18 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 354 runs with a .234 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. George Springer is batting .221 with nine home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 8-6 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 109.0 innings pitched this season. Berrios has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 7-6 with a 3.32 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 105.2 innings pitched this year. Kirby has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last 11 games as road underdogs following a road win.
  • The favorites have won each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Mariners following a win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against the Blue Jays following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Blue Jays and Mariners.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games at T-Mobile Park.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Haniger has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Mitch Haniger has recorded two or more RBIs in three of the Mariners’ last four games against the Blue Jays.
  • George Kirby has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as home favorites.
  • Mitch Haniger has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
  • George Kirby has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded a Single in each of his last six Sunday appearances.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Mariners.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more RBIs in four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against AL opponents.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Mariners.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 Sunday games.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Kevin Kiermaier has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games.

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Seattle comes into this matchup with a great home record on the season and they have led the AL West for a while, but their lead is down to just two games. The Mariners have had some issues recently, which has allowed Houston to get back into the mix. Toronto is last in the AL East and they are just 19-25 on the road. The Blue Jays are starting Berrios, who has not been good recently. The Mariners are going with Kirby, who is one of the hottest pitchers in the MLB right now. Seattle has been dominant at home this year and I love how Kirby is pitching, so my Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Mariners to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Mariners ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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