St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7-11-25 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Sunday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Grant Holmes for the start here and Holmes is 4-8 with a 3.44 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. This will be Holmes’ first career start against the Cardinals. Matthew Liberatore will get the start for the Cardinals here and is 6-6 with a 3.70 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. In his career, Liberatore is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Athletics in Thursday’s series finale to fall to 40-52 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head home for a series against the New York Yankees following the all-star break.

Braves Drop 8 Of Their Last 10

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 103 hits including 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 19 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 113 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 78 hits with 7 home runs and 29 RBIs in addition to 7 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 92 hits with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 58 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 74 hits with 12 home runs and 41 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 69 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 43 RBIs and 12 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Cardinals have lost each of their last four night games following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites following an extra innings loss.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a win.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Austin Riley ranks T7th in the league in Hits (103) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to add on to their 8-1 win over the Washington Nationals last time out to sit at 50-44 on the year. After this series, the Cardinals will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Cardinals Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight

Brendan Donovan has a team-high 98 hits along with 22 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs while Lars Nootbaar has 75 hits with 12 home runs, 37 RBIs, 15 doubles and 4 stolen bases. Nolan Arenado also has 77 hits with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 42 RBIs of his own and Victor Scott II has 63 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 29 RBIs and a team-high 23 stolen bases. Willson Contreras has also chipped in 82 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 52 RBIs of his own as well this season. Masyn Winn’s added 82 points with 19 doubles, 7 home runs and 32 RBIs and Alec Burleson’s added 81 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 42 RBIs.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Cardinals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Lars Nootbaar has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four games against NL East opponents at Busch Stadium.
• Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Cardinals as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Victor Scott II ranks T8th in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last seven games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Braves and Cardinals at Busch Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’m on the Cardinals here. I just think that the Braves are in full on struggle mode right now and this is a Braves team that hasn’t been able to win on the road after a bit of a rough start to the year. Just when I thought the Braves were turning a corner, they fall flat. The Cardinals have been at their best at home and I think they grab the win here. Give me St. Louis.