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St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5-21-24 Picks

Baltimore Orioles (29-16) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (21-26)
May 21, 2024 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals +115 / Baltimore Orioles -125; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at Busch Stadium. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 29-16 on the season after recent wins over the Blue Jays and Mariners. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Baltimore Orioles have lost 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 55 hits and 28 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have combined for 95 hits and 63 RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 21-26 on the year after recent wins over the Angels and Red Sox. The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The St. Louis Cardinals have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 48 hits and 22 RBI, while Brendan Donovan and Masyn Winn have combined for 80 hits and 34 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Kyle Bradish gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 0-0 with a 2.63 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Bradish has allowed 12 hits and 4 runs through 13.2 innings, and the Orioles are 3-0 this season when he pitches. Bradish has won 11 of his last 14 regular season starts. This will be Bradish’s second career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Lance Lynn gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 1-2 with a 4.17 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Lynn has allowed 17 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 14.2 innings. Lynn has a 5.03 ERA and .256 allowed batting average in 19.2 home innings. Lynn is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games at Busch Stadium following a win.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last five home games.
  • Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Lance Lynn has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
  • Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last four games.
  • Jorge Mateo has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four games.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last four games against the Cardinals.
  • Kyle Bradish has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his nine previous appearances with the Orioles as road favorites.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 20 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games as road favorites.
  • Kyle Bradish has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank 28th in the league for RBI’s this season (169).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (69).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

It’s only a matter of time before the Baltimore Orioles get their offense going. Kyle Bradish has been impressive through 3 starts, and he’s been on the winning side in 11 of his last 14 regular season starts. Lance Lynn has been hittable all season, and he’s been even worse this year at Busch Stadium, with an ERA over 5. The Orioles and the cheap price may be one of the best bets on Tuesday’s MLB card.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -125

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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