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St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 10-1-23 MLB Picks

St. Louis Cardinals (70-91) vs Cincinnati Reds (82-79)
2023-10-01 15:15:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals +105 / Cincinnati Reds -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5
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The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet in the regular season finale from Busch Stadium on Sunday.

Reds Eliminated From Playoff Contention

The Cincinnati Reds were eliminated from playoff contention with a thud on Saturday, taking a 15-6 loss at the hands of the Cardinals on Saturday, dropping their record to 82-79 on the year. Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 23 home runs, 86 RBIs and 158 hits while Matt McLain has 17 home runs this season. Steer also has a team-high 37 doubles while TJ Friedl has a .279 batting average, 18 home runs and 27 stolen bases. Elly De La Cruz has 35 stolen bases this season. Hunter Greene will get the start for the Reds here and is 4-6 with a 4.71 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

The Reds have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Reds have covered the run line seven of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites.
The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 12 games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five games as road favorites.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

TJ Friedl has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
Spencer Steer has scored a run in seven of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
Hunter Greene has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents.
Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last seven games as road favorites against NL opponents.
Elly De La Cruz ranks 9th in the league in Steals (35) this season.

Cardinals Ready To Focus On 2024

The St. Louis Cardinals have been ready for the regular season to end for some time now, and they finally get their wish with Sunday’s matchup. The victory on Saturday pushed the Cards to 70-91 on the year. Nolan Gorman leads the Cardinals with 27 home runs while Nolan Arenado has 26 home runs, a team-high 93 RBIs and a .266 batting average and Paul Goldschmidt has a team-high 159 hits, a .268 batting average and 31 doubles this season. Tommy Edman also has a team-high 4 triples and Willson Contreras also has 27 doubles this season. Miles MIkolas will start for St. Louis here and is 8-13 with a 4.82 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

The Cardinals have lost each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

Paul Goldschmidt has hit a home run in three of his last 11 appearances in day games.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last eight home appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Paul Goldschmidt has scored at least one run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The St. Louis Cardinals rank T29th in the league for triples this season (12).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1201).
The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (189).
The Cincinnati Reds rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (37).

Chris’ Pick

I have to wonder about the level of motivation for both of these sides in this game, but I’m rocking with the over here. Even with two blowouts in the first two games of this series, we’ve seen a combined 42 runs, 21 in each game, and with Greene being prone to getting hit and Mikolas struggling more at home this season, I have to think more runs are coming to close out the year. I think we end the season with a bang and an offensive clinic. Give me the over here.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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