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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-11-24 MLB Picks
Baltimore Orioles (69-48) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (58-57)
August 11, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays +109 / Baltimore Orioles -128; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Sunday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rays vs Orioles pick.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Baltimore played the Toronto Blue Jays this week, bagging a 7-3 win Wednesday. The other two games were losses however, 5-2 and 7-6. Following a 4-1 win over the Rays in the opener, on Saturday the O’s kept it up with a 7-5 victory. Starter Corbin Burnes finished with 6.0 innings and three earned.
Starter for the Sunday finale will be Baltimore’s Albert Suarez. This year Suarez is 5-4 with a 3.66 ERA in 23 games (15 starts). Suarez is 8-12 with a 4.15 ERA in 63 career games (27 starts).
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
Over on the Rays’ side, they took on the St. Louis Cardinals in their last set. Tampa Bay lost the first two games of that series but stopped the sweep with a 6-4 win in the finale. On Saturday the Rays were down 4-0 by the end of the second. Drew Rasmussen struggled in the start with three earned in just one inning.
It’ll be Jeffrey Springs in the starter role for the Rays on Sunday. This year Springs is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in two starts. Springs is 21-11 with a 3.48 ERA in 140 career games (32 starts). The Rays will take on the Astros after this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Dylan Carlson has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Jose Siri has recorded a hit in each of his last nine Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in six of the Rays’ last seven home games against the Orioles.
- Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Siri has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Rays’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 day games.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six day games.
- Colton Cowser has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games against AL East opponents.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 12 day games.
- Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last eight day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (458).
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for RBI’s this season (428).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (183).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.453).
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’ll probably stay with the O’s. Suarez needs a good start, though. He did fine in his last outing, notching 5.0 clean frames versus the Blue Jays. Suarez had six earned in 6.1 innings prior to that, however. As for Springs, he’s got six earned in 8.2 innings of limited work this year.
On Saturday the Orioles jumped out to a nice start and finished off with three runs in the eighth. Baltimore got three hits from four different players in a pretty encouraging effort. I like the O’s to keep it up Sunday.