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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-19-24 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (75-75) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (74-77)
September 19, 2024 6:50 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -115 / Boston Red Sox -103; Over/Under: +7.5
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The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Thursday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rays vs Red Sox pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Boston played the rival New York Yankees in their weekend set. The Red Sox only managed to win one of those four games. After another loss 8-3 to the Rays on Tuesday, in game two Boston eked out a 2-1 win. Tanner Houck lasted 4.0 innings with one earned run in the start.

Brayan Bello will start for the Red Sox Thursday. This year Bello is 14-7 with a 4.60 ERA and 142 Ks.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they played the Cleveland Guardians in their last set. Tampa Bay won two of those four games. On Wednesday the Rays got 6.0 innings, two hits, one earned, and 12 Ks from starter Ryan Pepiot.

Tampa Bay will send out Zack Littell in the starter role Thursday. This year Littell is 7-9 with a 3.73 ERA in 27 starts. Littell is 23-20 with a 3.96 ERA over 200 career games (45 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Siri has scored a run in three of his last four appearances.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rays as favorites.
  • Jose Siri has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Rays as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rays as favorites.
  • Jose Siri has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Rays as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Taylor Walls has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Trevor Story has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three night games.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Connor Wong has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll stick with Tampa Bay. Littell took a loss to start off the month, giving up four earned on seven hits and four walks in 4.0 innings to the Twins. Since then Littell has been doing much better. He’s 2-0 with zero earned on five hits and one walk in 11.0 innings over two starts.

On Wednesday the Rays couldn’t get much going at the plate behind a strong pitching effort. I like Tampa Bay to bounce back Thursday but the bats need to get going first.

Andrew's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -115

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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