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Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7-14-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (58-36) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (47-48)
July 14, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -113 / Cleveland Guardians +103; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 14th at Tropicana Field. 

Rays Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Rays’ offense on Saturday scored only two runs and that led to the two run defeat. Zack Littell had a strong start, going six innings and giving up only one run, but it was wasted with the lack of offense. The Rays are averaging 3.94 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.62 runs per game. The offense is ranked 26th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 22nd. Isaac Parades has hit 15 home runs and driven in 50 RBIs. Getting the start for the Rays will be Ryan Pepiot who sits with a 5-5 record and an ERA of 4.20. In his last start against the New York Yankees, he went 5.2 innings, giving up four hits and one run. 


Why the Guardians Will Beat the Rays

  • The Rays have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Guardians have won five of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against the Rays.

Guardians Need This Win

The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals are creeping up the standings, and that is putting more and more pressure on each Cleveland game. On Saturday, the Guardians scored four runs and the pitching really stepped up. Gavin Williams went five innings, giving up three hits and one run. The Guardians are averaging 4.83 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.9 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 5th. Jose Ramirez has hit 23 home runs and driven in 77 RBIs. Getting the start for the Guardians will be Ben Lively, who sits with an 8-4 record and an ERA of 3.59. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers he went 5.1 innings giving up seven hits and six runs. 

Why the Rays Will Beat the Guardians

  • The Rays have won each of their last six home games following a loss.
  • The Guardians have lost nine of their last 10 day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Tropicana Field following a loss.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

What Lively is going to show up for the Guardians? He has been good most of the season, but in his last start he really struggled. The Rays’ offense overall has been an issue, and they are going to really struggle to get the bats going against Lively. I do expect Pepiot to have a strong start, and this game is going to end up with lower scoring. Back the under to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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