Rays vs Mariners Prediction 9/3/25 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Wednesday in MLB action from Steinbrenner Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rays vs Mariners Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out George Kirby for the start here and Kirby is 8-6 with a 3.94 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kirby is 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 27 strikeouts against the Rays. The Tampa Bay Rays will trot out Adrian Houser here and Houser is 7-4 with a 2.85 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. In his career, Houser is 1-2 with a 4.85 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Seattle.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from their 6-5 loss at the hands of the Rays on Tuesday to sit at 73-66 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves in interleague play.

Mariners Drop 4 Of Last 5

Jorge Polanco has 100 hits including 23 home runs and 63 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 123 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 51 home runs and 108 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 126 hits with 29 doubles, 26 home runs, 66 RBIs and 25 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 150 hits with 24 doubles, 4 triples, 27 home runs, 79 RBIs and 24 stolen bases. J.P Crawford has 131 hits with 20 doubles, 9 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Rays have lost 17 of their last 21 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at George M. Steinbrenner Field following a home win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games against the Rays.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games against the Rays.
• George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.
• George Kirby has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (51) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to add on to their 6-5 win over the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday to improve to 69-69 this season. After this series, the Rays will welcome the Cleveland Guardians to town.

Rays Win 5 In A Row

Jonathan Aranda has 113 hits with 22 doubles, 12 home runs and 54 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 114 hits with 28 homers and 72 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 136 hits with 24 doubles, a team-high 40 home runs and 100 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 146 hits with 26 doubles, 22 homers and 76 RBIs.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The home team has won each of the last six games between the Mariners and Rays.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Mariners.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in six of his last 12 appearances against AL West opponents.
• Adrian Houser has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Adrian Houser has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in four of the Rays’ last five games against AL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (39) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mariners’ last four games as favorites against the Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.

Rays vs Mariners Prediction

I’m on the over in this one here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but I think we’re getting some runs here. Kirby has had issues at times on the road, and we know how hitter-friendly Steinbrenner Field has been this season. On the other side, Adrian Houser’s been shaky at times and had issues in his lone home start as a Ray, and we’ve seen two high-scoring affairs already in this series. Give me the over.