Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7-20-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 20th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Rangers Try to Keep Momentum 

The Texas Rangers are 46-51 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Texas lost the first game in this series on Friday night and they allowed nine runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Rangers won two out of three against the Astros, won two out of three against the Angels, and swept the Rays in three games. Texas is 7-3 in their last ten games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 415 runs with a .239 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .209 with 17 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has scored at least four runs in five of their last nine games. 

Orioles are Going for Three Straight 

The Baltimore Orioles are 59-38 this season and they have won two games in a row. Baltimore was able to pick up the win in game one of this series by a score of 9-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Yankees, lost all three against the Cubs, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Baltimore is just 2-5 in their last seven games, but they hold a slim lead in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 483 runs with a .253 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .293 with 28 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed at least four runs in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Max Scherzer, who is 1-2 with a 2.96 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year. Scherzer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Grayson Rodriguez, who is 11-4 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 99.2 innings pitched this season. Rodriguez has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents following a road win.
• The Rangers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last three Saturday games as favorites.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rangers’ last six games as underdogs against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last three games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four home games against the Orioles.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Rangers’ last nine night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Scherzer has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
• Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in seven of the Rangers’ last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one total base in each of his nine previous appearances against the Orioles.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Orioles.
• Josh Smith ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as road favorites.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four games at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Austin Hays has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Grayson Rodriguez ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Texas Rangers rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (132).
• The Texas Rangers rank T4th in the league for hits allowed this season (741).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (153).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.454).

Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore has played pretty poorly over the last few weeks, but they have won their last two games and they will look to make it three in a row here. The Orioles are 29-16 on the road, while the Rangers are 24-22 at home this year. Texas does play their best baseball at home, but that did not help them in Friday’s blowout loss. The Rangers are going with Max Scherzer, who has been pretty solid in limited action. The Orioles are starting Grayson Rodriguez, who has been a little up and down so far this year. It is tough to go against the Orioles this season, but Texas is the hotter team and I think they have the pitching advantage. My Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Rangers to win.