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Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/19/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (73-80) vs. Texas Rangers (79-74)
September 19, 2025 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -169 / Miami Marlins +138; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Texas Rangers meet Friday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Janson Junk here and Junk is 6-3 with a 4.48 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. In his career, Junk is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Rangers. Tyler Mahle will start this game for the Rangers and is 6-3 with a 2.34 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. In his career, Mahle is 1-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 24 strikeouts against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 9-7 win over the Colorado Rockies from Thursday’s series finale to improve to 73-80 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Marlins Win Three Straight & 7 Of Last 8

Xavier Edwards has 148 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 111 hits with 27 doubles. Otto Lopez has 123 hits with 18 doubles and 14 home runs with 73 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 20 home runs, 29 doubles and 63 RBIs on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last five games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last six games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a loss.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at the hands of the Houston Astros last time out to fall to 79-74 this season. After this series, the Rangers will take on the Minnesota Twins in a series at home.

Rangers Drop 4 In A Row

Corey Seager has 103 hits including 21 home runs and 50 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 113 hits with 28 doubles, 18 home runs, 74 RBIs and 13 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 112 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 59 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 117 hits with 25 doubles, 21 home runs, 61 RBIs and 21 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 11 homers and 43 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 123 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs with 12 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 108 hits with 16 doubles, 15 homers and 62 RBIs but has 93 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have won seven of their last eight home games.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Tyler Mahle has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 17 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Rangers’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. I know the Marlins are coming off of a series at Coors Field with no day off in between, but the Marlins have been able to hit righties lately and Tyler Mahle’s making his first major league start in three months. On the other side, the Rangers have still been solid against right-handed pitching and Janson Junk’s been showing flaws in a lot of his recent outings. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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