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Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/20/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (74-80) vs. Texas Rangers (79-75)
September 20, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -162 / Miami Marlins +133; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Adam Mazur here and Mazur is 0-4 with a 4.85 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Mazur’s second career start against the Rangers. Jack Leiter will get the nod for the Rangers here and is 9-9 with a 3.82 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. This will be Leiter’s first career start against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 6-4 win over Texas from Friday’s opener to sit at 74-80 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Marlins Win 4 Straight & 8 Of Last 9

Xavier Edwards has 148 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 111 hits with 27 doubles. Otto Lopez has 123 hits with 18 doubles and 14 home runs with 73 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 20 home runs, 29 doubles and 63 RBIs on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last six games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last seven games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a loss.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from their series opening loss to the Marlins to sit at 79-75 this season. After this series, the Rangers will square off against the Minnesota Twins in a series at home.

Rangers Lose 5th Straight

Corey Seager has 103 hits including 21 home runs and 50 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 113 hits with 28 doubles, 18 home runs, 74 RBIs and 13 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 112 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 59 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 117 hits with 25 doubles, 21 home runs, 61 RBIs and 21 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 11 homers and 43 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 123 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs with 12 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 108 hits with 16 doubles, 15 homers and 62 RBIs but has 93 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won each of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last 10 road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Wyatt Langford has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Marlins.
  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Marlins’ last eight road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rangers’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Marlins here. I get why the Rangers would be favored as Adam Mazur’s been nothing to write home about this season. However, the Rangers continue to dig their own grave as their wild card hopes fade, and I just can’t back them or lay any kind of price in their current form. I think the Marlins continue to hold some value, so I’m going to side with Miami in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +133

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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