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Texas Rangers vs NY Mets Prediction 6-19-24 Picks

NY Mets (35-37) vs. Texas Rangers (33-40)
June 19, 2024 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -110 / NY Mets -110; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 19th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Mets Have Won Seven Straight 

The New York Mets are 35-37 this year and they have won seven games in a row. New York has won the first two games in this series by scores of 14-2 and 7-6. Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Padres in three games, won two out of three against the Marlins, and split two games with the Phillies. New York is 11-2 in their last 13 games and they are tied for third in the NL East with the Nationals. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 334 runs with a .247 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .243 with 15 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York is 12th in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored at least seven runs in three straight games. 

Rangers Trying to Snap Losing Streak 

The Texas Rangers are 33-40 this season and they have lost five games in a row. Texas has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 21 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Rangers were swept by the Mariners in three games, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against the Giants. Texas is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are tied for second in the AL West with the Astros. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 308 runs with a .237 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Corey Seager is batting .259 with 14 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas is 20th in team ERA this season and they have allowed at least five runs in four straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 4-3 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this season. Manaea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow 11 earned runs and 13 hits in the other two outings in that span. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Andrew Heaney, who is 2-8 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched this year. Heaney has allowed exactly three earned runs in three of his last four starts, but did throw six shutout innings against the Marlins three starts ago. 

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Mets have lost each of their last eight Wednesday road games against American League opponents.
The Rangers have won eight of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 road games against American League opponents following a road win.
The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Mets have won each of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
The Rangers have lost each of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Rangers’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Mets’ last five road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Texas Rangers vs NY Mets Prediction 

These two teams come into this game heading in completely opposite directions and the Mets will be looking for their eighth straight win here. New York has caught fire over the last two weeks and they are now 17-14 on the road. Texas cannot string wins together right now and they are just 16-19 at home. I don’t love the pitching matchup for either side in this matchup and I think we could see a good amount of runs. New York is scoring at a crazy pace right now, while Texas has allowed 33 runs in their last four games. My Texas Rangers vs NY Mets prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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