Texas Rangers vs NY Mets Prediction 9/24/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (73-85) vs. Texas Rangers (78-80)
September 24, 2026 2:35 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -131 / NY Mets +109; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Texas Rangers meet Thursday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Zac Thornton for the start here and Thornton is 5-5 with a 3.40 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Kumar Rocker will start for Texas and is 5-11 with a 4.47 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 7-2 win over Texas on Wednesday to sit at 73-65 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.
Mets Win 4 Of Last 5
Bo Bichette leads the Mets with a team-high 161 hits and 76 RBIs while adding 24 doubles, 2 triples, and 17 home runs so far this season. Carson Benge has added 157 hits with 19 doubles, 3 triples, 19 home runs, and 61 RBIs, while Juan Soto leads New York with a team-high 26 home runs alongside 103 hits, 11 doubles, 2 triples, and 65 RBIs on the year. Marcus Semien has contributed 104 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs, and 48 RBIs, while Brett Baty has logged 95 hits with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs, and 52 RBIs. Francisco Alvarez has also chipped in 83 hits with 12 doubles, 16 home runs, and 40 RBIs for New York up to this point in the season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Rangers have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday day home games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
- Zach Thornton has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL West opponents.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers will be out to bounce back from their loss to the Mets on Wednesday to slip to 79-79 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Rangers Drop 3 Straight
Brandon Nimmo leads the Rangers with a team-high 148 hits while adding 34 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs, and 61 RBIs so far this season. Ezequiel Duran has added 137 hits with 27 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Jake Burger leads Texas with a team-high 27 home runs and 88 RBIs alongside 124 hits and 23 doubles on the year. Josh Jung has contributed 114 hits with 25 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 39 RBIs, while Joc Pederson has added 88 hits, 12 doubles, 2 triples, 26 home runs, and 53 RBIs. Corey Seager has logged 83 hits with 16 doubles, 18 home runs, and 47 RBIs, and Evan Carter has chipped in 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 9 home runs, and 38 RBIs for Texas up to this point in the season.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Rangers have won each of their last four day games at Globe Life Field following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 day games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last five day games.
- Kumar Rocker has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Rangers’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Zach Thornton’s last four appearances as a starter.
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers Prediction
I’m looking at the Mets in this one. The Mets have been the better team in this series and while Rocker has had his fair share of success this season, he’s also been wildly inconsistent and I think the Mets continue to relish the role of spoiler. Give me New York in this one.