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Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9-17-24 MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (72-78) vs. Texas Rangers (71-79)
September 17, 2024 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -150 / Toronto Blue Jays +125; Over/Under: +7.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 17th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 71-79 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Texas is coming off of a series loss against Seattle, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Rangers lost both games against the Diamondbacks, won three out of four against the Angels, and won two out of three against the Yankees. Texas is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Rangers’ offense has scored 623 runs with a .237 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage. Wyatt Langford is batting .249 with 11 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 72-78 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against St. Louis, where they won all three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Mets, lost two out of three against the Braves, and lost both games against the Phillies. Toronto is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays’ offense has scored 635 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .319 with 28 home runs and 96 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 10-13 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 163.0 innings pitched this year. Bassitt has allowed one earned run in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 11-8 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 152.0 innings pitched this season. Eovaldi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three outings. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Blue Jays

  • The home team has won seven of the Rangers’ last eight games.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five road games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a home win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Blue Jays.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Blue Jays.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last eight games between the Blue Jays and Rangers have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Corey Seager has scored at least one run in eight of the Rangers’ last nine games against the Blue Jays.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against the Blue Jays.
  • Corey Seager has recorded two or more total bases in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Blue Jays.
  • Leody Taveras has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four home games against the Blue Jays.
  • Wyatt Langford has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Rangers’ last four games against AL East opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Double in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Ernie Clement has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Ernie Clement has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances at Globe Life Field.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against the Rangers.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games at Globe Life Field.

Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series out of the playoff race and they have similar records, but they are trending in opposite directions. The Blue Jays have played better over the last few weeks, while the Rangers are trying to avoid their fourth straight loss. Toronto is 34-41 on the road, while Texas is 41-34 at home. Both of these starting pitchers have been decent recently, but Bassitt has an elevated WHIP and faces a Texas team that is solid at home. Take the Rangers here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Rangers ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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