MLB Picks

Tigers vs Astros Prediction 8/18/25 MLB Picks Today

Houston Astros (69-55) vs. Detroit Tigers (73-53)
August 18, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -145 / Houston Astros 119; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers meet Monday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Tigers vs Astros Prediction. This article will include a Tigers vs Astros Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 69-55 on the year and play the Orioles, Rockies, and Angels next. The Houston Astros are batting .255 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 129 hits and 64 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Yainer Diaz have combined for 222 hits and 98 RBI.

Spencer Arrighetti gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 73-53 on the year and play the Royals, Athletics, and Royals next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .249 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and a .419 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 125 hits and 90 RBI while Gleyber Torres and Spencer Torkelson have combined for 211 hits and 125 RBI.

Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 6-12 with a 4.76 ERA and 153 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 1-3 with a 3.64 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Astros have lost each of their last six night games against the Tigers following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have won each of their last 12 Monday games as favorites.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Tigers following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven Monday home games.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Astros.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Astros have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road night games.
  • The Tigers have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games at Comerica Park.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Riley Greene ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (28) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Altuve has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two games as road underdogs.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jeremy Pena ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.313) this season.

Tigers vs Astros Prediction

Arrighetti is still trying to work his way into the mix as he has a 6.38 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, and he’s allowed 12 runs in his last 12.1 innings. In 7.1 road innings, Arrighetti has a 12.27 ERA and .400 allowed batting average. Flaherty leads the league in losses and has allowed 18 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 15 innings. We have two struggling pitchers and two capable offenses. This could be an offensive explosion. I’ll take my chances with the over on Monday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 8.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button