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Tigers vs Astros Prediction 8/19/25 MLB Picks Today

Houston Astros (69-56) vs. Detroit Tigers (74-53)
August 19, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -176 / Houston Astros 144; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 19th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 74-53 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-0 on Monday night. Detroit took the lead in the fourth inning and never looked back in the blowout victory. The Tigers recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Sweeney, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Melton and Lange finished the shutout. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won three out of four against the Twins and two out of three against the White Sox. Detroit has won seven of their last nine games and they are still first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 614 runs with a .250 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 29 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 11-3 with a 2.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 152.1 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 69-56 this year after they were shutout to start this series on Monday night. Houston threatened early in the game, but they couldn’t find any runs in the loss. The Astros recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Walker, who went 2-3 in the game. Houston started Arrighetti, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Scott allowed five earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Houston has lost four of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 530 runs with a .254 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 10-5 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 143.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Astros

  • The Tigers have won each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last four games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Astros’ last six games at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Astros.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last eight home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Astros’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Astros’ last eight games at Comerica Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight night games against AL West opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Colt Keith has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games against AL opponents.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five Tuesday appearances at Comerica Park.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Isaac Paredes has hit at least one home run in each of his last two road appearances against former teams.

Tigers vs Astros Prediction 

Detroit was able to dominate game one in this series, as these teams are battling for the second seed in the AL right now. The Tigers are 40-24 at home this year, while the Astros are 31-29 on the road. Houston has allowed 22 runs in their last two games, but they are starting Brown, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Detroit is going with Skubal, who has allowed 3, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last three outings. Hunter Brown has been the better starter over the last few starts, but this Houston offense is not in a good place. Take the Tigers -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Tigers -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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