Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/16/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, September 16^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 75-77 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 39-38 home record and are coming off a 1-10 home loss against the Tigers. They will face the Rangers and the Orioles next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .248 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 88, adding a team-high 33 home runs.

Max Scherzer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 2-8 record, 6.38 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 72-79 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL Central. They have a 33-43 away record and are coming off a 10-1 road win against the Blue Jays. They will face the White Sox and the Nationals next.

The Detroit Tigers have a .240 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 88, adding a team-high 27 home runs.

Keider Montero (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 9-8 record, 3.55 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 16, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 2-8      ERA: 6.38
• Home Record: 2-7
• Last 5 against Tigers: 2-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last three home day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero      Record this season: 9-8      ERA: 3.55
• Road Record: 4-4
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-2

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last 10 games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in six of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 road games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Max Scherzer’s last seven appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last four day games against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last six home games.
• Max Scherzer has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Scherzer has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last six Wednesday day appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
• Kazuma Okamoto ranks 10th in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Keider Montero has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Keider Montero has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his five previous road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (584).
• The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (55).
• The Tigers rank 4th in the league for triples this season (32).

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Tigers are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Blue Jays and have won their last three visits in Toronto.

In this Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -118 home favorites. I like the Tigers to keep rolling in this one, as they are still fighting for a wild card spot and have won six straight. Montero has been excellent this season with a 3.55 ERA and 1.03 WHIP and he is the far safer option on the mound than Max Scherzer, who has a 2-6 record and 6.23 home ERA. Detroit’s offense has been scorching-hot and I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Tigers to win.