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Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/17/26 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (20-25) vs. Detroit Tigers (20-26)
May 17, 2026 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers 108 / Toronto Blue Jays -130; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers meet Sunday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Tigers vs. Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Tigers vs. Blue Jays Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 20-25 on the year and play the Yankees and Pirates next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .243 on the season and have a .307 OBP, and a .371 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 50 hits and 12 RBI while Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 84 hits and 33 RBI.

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 4-3 with a 3.16 ERA and 83 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 20-26 on the year and play the Guardians and Orioles next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .241 on the season and have a .323 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 54 hits and 23 RBI, while Colt Keith and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 86 hits and 22 RBI.

Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 0-4 with a 5.73 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Tigers following a win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
  • The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home day games.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Tigers have lost five of their last six games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have won four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Tigers’ last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Vierling has hit at least one home run in two of the Tigers’ last three games as home underdogs against the Blue Jays.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in five of his six previous appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Javier Báez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Riley Greene ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.419) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (83).
  • The Tigers rank 27th in the league for steals this season (20).
  • The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (1).
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (306).

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Tigers have played their best ball at home and the Blue Jays have struggled on the road. I’m still siding with Toronto. Gausman has been far more trustworthy with a 3.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, while Flaherty has a 5.73 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Flaherty has allowed 14 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 12.1 innings. Can’t get behind that. Give me the Blue Jays and the cheap price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -130

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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