Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction 7/30/25 MLB Picks Today
Arizona Diamondbacks (51-57) vs. Detroit Tigers (63-46)
July 30, 2025 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -137 / Arizona Diamondbacks 112; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article. we will formulate a Tigers vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 30th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 63-46 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-1 and 12-2. In their game two win, Detroit fell behind early in the game, but they scored the last 12 runs in the game to run away with the win. The Tigers recorded 19 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Greene, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Mize, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 1.2 innings, while Hurter picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Tigers lost three out of four against the Blue Jays and all three against the Pirates. Detroit has won three games in a row, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 525 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 26 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 23 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Chris Paddack, who is 3-9 with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 111.0 innings pitched this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 51-57 this year after they lost game two by a score of 12-2 on Tuesday night. Arizona scored once in the first and once in the second, but they went scoreless over the final seven innings in the blowout loss. The Diamondbacks recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Marte and Perdomo, who both had one RBI in the loss. Arizona started Pfaadt, who allowed 11 hits and seven earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Garcia allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Pirates and were swept by the Astros in three games. Arizona has lost seven of its last eight games, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 526 runs with a .249 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 36 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 21 home runs and 50 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tigers will beat the Diamondbacks
- The Tigers have won each of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Diamondbacks and Tigers.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Comerica Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Tigers’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight Wednesday games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Diamondbacks and Tigers at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances in day games.
- Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Eugenio Suarez has hit at least one home run in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- James McCann has recorded a Double in four of his five previous road appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
- Ryne Nelson has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games.
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Detroit comes into this contest looking for its fourth win in a row, and they have scored a total of 27 runs in their last three games. The Tigers are 35-21 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 25-29 on the road. On the other side, Arizona continues to rack up the losses, as its offense has gone silent. Arizona is starting Nelson, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. Detroit is going with Paddack, who has been up and down, but will be making his first start since being traded from Minnesota. I continue to fade this Arizona lineup, and we can’t stop now. Take the Tigers here.