MLB Picks

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction 9/23/26 MLB Picks Today

Washington Nationals (74-84) vs. Detroit Tigers (74-84)
September 23, 2026 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -180 / Washington Nationals 148; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 23rd at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 74-84 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 9-2 and 1-3. In game two, Detroit tied the game at one in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Tigers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Clark, who went 2-4. Anderson allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Hurter threw an inning in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit lost three out of four against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 707 runs with a .241 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 27 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 21 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Framber Valdez, who is 10-11 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 168.2 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 74-84 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-1 last night. Washington blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored two runs in the seventh to get the win. The Nationals recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Abrams, who went 2-4 with two home runs and three RBIs. Cornelio opened the game, while Kent picked up the win and Tolman got the save. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Cardinals and split two games with the Phillies. 

This season, Washington has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 803 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 33 home runs and 102 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 76 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is TBD. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last four home games following a loss.
  • The Nationals have lost 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against AL opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL opponents following a loss.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road day games.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road day games.
  • The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have won six of their last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the last five games between the Nationals and Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Nationals’ last seven games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Tigers’ last 11 home games against NL opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites against the Nationals.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents .
  • Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (47) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (55).
  • The Tigers rank 4th in the league for triples this season (33).
  • The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (174).
  • The Nationals rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (803).

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have scored exactly one run in all three of those losses. The Tigers are 40-37 at home this year, while the Nationals are 37-43 on the road. Washington has won three of their last five games, but they have scored three or fewer in three straight. The Nationals are going with a bullpen game, while Valdez has allowed 3, 0, 0, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the Tigers -1.5 in this one. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Tigers -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button