Tigers vs Orioles Game 1 Prediction 5/24/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Orioles Game 1 Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 24^th in the second game of this series and the first of today’s double-header. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 22-29 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL East. They have a 13-12 home record and are coming off a 7-4 win against the Tigers. They will face the Rays and the Blue Jays next.

The Orioles have a .236 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .256 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 32, adding a team-high 10 home runs.

Brandon Young (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 3-1 record, 4.25 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 20-32 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL Central. They have a 7-20 away record and are coming off a 7-4 loss against the Orioles. They will face the Angels and the White Sox next.

The Tigers have a .234 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .373 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .324 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 29, adding a team-high 9 home runs.

Framber Valdez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 2-3 record, 4.58 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 24, 2026: Game 1

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Young      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 4.25
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Tigers: 0-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last seven games.
• The home team has won seven of the Orioles’ last eight games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez      Record this season: 2-3      ERA: 4.58
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Orioles: 1-2

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Tigers have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last three road games.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six day games between the Tigers and Orioles.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Tigers’ last 12 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games against the Tigers.
• Taylor Ward ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.410) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Framber Valdez has recorded a win in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Riley Greene ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.324) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (4.95).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
• The Tigers rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (189).
• The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (20).

Tigers vs Orioles Game 1 Prediction

The Tigers are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Orioles and are 4-2 in their last 6 visits in Baltimore.

In this Tigers vs Orioles Game 1 Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -120 home favorites. The Tigers are on a free fall lately with a 1-8 record in their last 10 games and things won’t get any better with a struggling Framber Valdez on the mound. Valdez has given up 11 runs in two of his last three starts and Detroit’s bats rank 27^th against right-handed pitching in the past couple of weeks. Take the Orioles to win at home in this one.