Tigers vs Orioles Prediction 7/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 28th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 50-57 this season after they lost game one by a score of 5-8 on Monday night. Detroit allowed three runs in the first two innings and never led in the loss. The Tigers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Montero allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Holton allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit split four games with the Royals and won two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 450 runs with a .236 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 22 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 15 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Troy Melton, who is 5-1 with a 1.95 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 52-55 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-5 last night. Baltimore had their lead cut to 4-3 in the fourth inning, but they answered with three runs in the fifth to seal the win. The Orioles recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Bradish allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Wolfram picked up the win and Garcia got the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 491 runs with a .238 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 22 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 18 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 1-3 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 32.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six road games against the Tigers following a road win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Tigers following a win.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games against AL East opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 games against AL East opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last five road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last nine Tuesday games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Tigers’ last eight night games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Troy Melton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Hao-Yu Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.
• Jake Rogers has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances.
• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Coby Mayo has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have allowed 13 runs in their last two games. The Tigers are 29-26 at home this year, while the Orioles are 23-28 on the road. Baltimore has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five. The Orioles are starting Kremer, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last three outings, while Melton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Take the Tigers here.