Tigers vs Padres Prediction 4/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 23rd at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 14-10 this year, and they have split the first two games in this series by scores of 6-4 and 0-2. In their Game 2 loss, the Tigers pitched a very solid game, but got no offense in the shutout loss. The Tigers recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baez, Dingler, and Malloy, who all had one hit in the loss. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings in the loss, while Horn and Lee threw 3.0 shutout innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won three out of four against the Royals, but did lose two out of three against the Brewers before that. Detroit has won four of its last six games, and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.07 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .215 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 106 runs with a .244 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with seven home runs and 21 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added five home runs and 11 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 20.0 innings pitched this year. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 17-7 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday night. San Diego got a great outing from Pivetta, and they scored two runs in the second inning to get the win. The Padres recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. San Diego started Pivetta, who allowed two hits over 7.0 innings for the win, while Suarez got the save in the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Astros, but did win two out of three against the Cubs before that. San Diego has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 2.77 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 103 runs with a .270 batting average and a .341 on-base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with eight home runs and 17 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added three home runs and 12 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Kyle Hart, who is 2-1 with a 6.48 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Padres

• The Tigers have won each of their last four games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Padres have lost six of their last seven road games following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last 10 Wednesday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Padres will beat the Tigers

• The Padres have won each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Wednesday games as road underdogs.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Padres’ last 13 day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five day games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last five day games.
• Manuel Margot has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Javier Baez has recorded a hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Padres.
• Javier Baez has recorded a Single in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Martin Maldonado has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored a run in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Tigers vs Padres Prediction 

San Diego was able to get a nice win on Tuesday night, and they will look for the series win here. The Padres are 5-6 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 9-3 at home. Detroit has had a ton of success with their pitching staff, but they are starting Olson, who has been very shaky through four starts. The Padres are going with Hart, who has allowed five earned runs in two of his last three outings. Take the over in this contest.